Worried about future inflation? Ben Shepherd's new advisory, Inflation Survival Letter, is designed to protect portfolios against the risks of inflation; he highlights one favorite inflation-resistant stock, a leading railroad operator.
Steve Halpern: We're here today with Ben Shepherd, editor of the Inflation Survival Letter. How are you doing today, Ben?
Ben Shepherd: Terrific, Steve, how are you?
Steve Halpern: Good. Could you tell our listeners a little about your newsletter and an overview of your investing strategy?
Ben Shepherd: Sure. I've been concerned about the prospect of inflation, really ever since the US Federal Reserve implemented its zero interest rate policy and began aggressively pursuing a program of quantitative easing.
I believe one of government's greatest functions is to, kind of, smooth out the economic bumps in the road, but unfortunately, it has an extremely poor track record of timing its actions to do the most good, while doing the least harm.
Top Low Price Stocks To Buy Right Now: Aircastle Ltd (AYR)
Aircastle Limited (Aircastle), incorporated on October 29, 2004, is a global company that acquires, leases, and sells high-utility commercial jet aircraft to customers throughout the world. As of December 31, 2012, the Company's aircraft portfolio consisted of 159 aircraft that were leased to 69 lessees located in 36 countries. The Company manages its fleet through offices in the United States, Ireland and Singapore. The Company invests in aircraft that the Company places on operating or finances leases. The Company also makes investments in other aviation assets, including debt investments secured by commercial jet aircraft. The Company operates in single segment being Aircraft leases. The Company owned 133 passenger aircraft, representing approximately 71% of the net book value of flight equipment, while its 26 freighter aircraft account for 29% of its portfolio value. Effective July 12, 2013, Marubeni Corp acquired a 15.25% interest in the Company.
The Company leases its aircraft on an operating lease basis. Under an operating lease, the Company retains the benefit, and bear the risk, of re-leasing and of the residual values of the aircraft upon expiration or early termination of the lease. Under the Company's leases, the lessees agree to lease the aircraft for a fixed term, although certain of its operating leases allow the lessee the option to extend the lease for an additional term or, in rare cases, terminate the lease prior to its expiration. During the year ended December 31, 2012, the Company's three customers, Martinair , including its affiliates, KLM, Transavia and Transavia France, U.S. Airways, Inc., and Hainan Airlines Company, accounted for 9%, 6% and 6% of the Company�� revenues.
As of December 31, 2012, the Company had 19 aircraft having scheduled lease expirations in 2013 and the Company has lease or leases extension commitments for two of these aircraft. The remaining 17 aircraft with scheduled expiries in 2013. The Company entered into early termination! agreements for two Boeing Model 737-700 aircraft, one Airbus model A330-200 aircraft, one Boeing Model 767-300ER aircraft and one Airbus Model A319-100 aircraft, which the Company is marketing for sale or leases.
The Company competes with GE Commercial Aviation Services, International Lease Finance Corporation (ILFC), AerCap Holdings NV, Air Lease Corporation, Aviation Capital Group, CIT Aerospace, AWAS, SMBC Aviation Capital (formerly RBS Aviation Capital), BOC Aviation, FLY Leasing, Ltd., Avolon, Guggenheim Aviation Partners, Volito, Deucalion, Oak Hill Aviation and AerSale
Advisors' Opinion:- [By Seth Jayson]
Calling all cash flows
When you are trying to buy the market's best stocks, it's worth checking up on your companies' free cash flow once a quarter or so, to see whether it bears any relationship to the net income in the headlines. That's what we do with this series. Today, we're checking in on Aircastle LTD (NYSE: AYR ) , whose recent revenue and earnings are plotted below. - [By Vera Yuan]
We initiated a new position in Aircastle Ltd. (AYR), an aircraft leasing company with a flexible business model and a rational capital allocation philosophy. We took advantage of an opportunity to purchase shares in the heavily capitalized Georgia bank State Bank Financial Corp. (STBZ) as the depressed stock price reflected investors��lack of patience with a slower than expected pace of capital deployment. We like State Bank�� management team led by Georgia banker Joe Evans. This management team has experience successfully building and selling other Georgia banks. We also received shares of transportation infrastructure company XPO Logistics, Inc. (XPO) as a result of its acquisition of holding Pacer International, Inc.
- [By John Udovich]
Yesterday around midday,�Netherlands based aviation leasing stock�AerCap Holdings N.V. (NYSE: AER) began surging on rumors and closed up 11.6%, meaning its probably time to take a closer look at those rumors along with aviation leasing peers like small caps or mid caps�Aircastle Limited (NYSE: AYR), Air Lease Corp (NYSE: AL), Fly Leasing Ltd (NYSE: FLY) and AeroCentury Corp (NYSEMKT: ACY).
- [By Roberto Pedone]
One commercial leasing player that insiders are active in here is Aircastle (AYR), which acquires, leases and sells high-utility commercial jet aircraft to passenger and cargo airlines throughout the world. Insiders are buying this stock into notable strength, since shares are up sharply by 52% in 2013.
Aircastle has a market cap of $1.5 billion and an enterprise value of $4.8 billion. This stock trades at a premium valuation, with a trailing price-to-earnings of 124.68. This is not a cash-rich company, since the total cash position on its balance sheet is $238.15 million and its total debt is $3.48 billion. This stock currently sports a dividend yield of 4.2%.
A director just bought 30,000 shares, or about $563,000 worth of stock, at $18.79 per share.
From a technical perspective, AYR is currently trending above both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, which is bullish. This stock has been uptrending strong for the last five months, with shares moving higher from its low of $15.84 to its recent high of $19.50 a share. During that uptrend, shares of AYR have been consistently making higher lows and higher highs, which is bullish technical price action. That move has now pushed shares of AYR within range of triggering a big breakout trade.
If you're bullish on AYR, then I would look for long-biased trades as long as this stock is trending above its 50-day at $18.67 or above more support near $18, and then once it breaks out above its 52-week high at $19.50 a share with high volume. Look for a sustained move or close above that level with volume that hits near or above its three-month average volume of 430,032 shares. If that breakout hits soon, then AYR will set up to enter new 52-week high territory, which is bullish technical price action. Some possible upside targets off that breakout are $25 to $30 a share.
Top 5 Railroad Stocks To Invest In Right Now: S&P GSCI(GD)
General Dynamics Corporation, an aerospace and defense company, provides business aviation; combat vehicles, weapons systems, and munitions; military and commercial shipbuilding; and communications and information technology products and services worldwide. Its Aerospace group designs, manufactures, and outfits various large and mid-cabin business-jet aircraft; provides maintenance, repair work, fixed-based operations, and aircraft management services; and performs aircraft completions for aircraft. The company?s Combat Systems group offers tracked and wheeled military vehicles, weapons systems, and munitions. Its product lines include wheeled combat and tactical vehicles; battle tanks and infantry vehicles; munitions and propellant; rockets and gun systems; and axle and drivetrain components and aftermarket parts. This group also manufactures and supplies engineered axles, suspensions, and brakes for heavy-load vehicles for military and commercial customers. The company Advisors' Opinion:
- [By Rich Smith]
The Department of Defense ended the week with a bang (if you'll pardon the expression) on Friday, awarding no fewer than 29 separate contracts worth more than $951 million in aggregate. Publicly traded companies securing contracts included:
- [By Rich Smith]
Privately held IMT Defense Corp. and the Ordnance and Tactical Systems division of publicly traded General Dynamics (NYSE: GD ) were both named winners of a� contract to supply M485A2 Projectile Metal Parts to the U.S. Army.
- [By Victor Selva]
General Dynamics Corp. (GD) is an aerospace and defense company. It has four business groups: Aerospace, Combat Systems, Marine Systems and Information Systems and Technology. The company�� key customer is the U.S. government. The company also has business with non-U.S. governments and corporate and individual buyers of business aircraft.
- [By Eric Volkman]
General Dynamics (NYSE: GD ) is electing to keep its dividend level for the time being. The company has declared a quarterly disbursement of $0.56 per share of its common stock, to be paid on Aug. 9 to shareholders of record as of July 5.
Top 5 Railroad Stocks To Invest In Right Now: Visa Inc.(V)
Visa Inc., a payments technology company, engages in the operation of retail electronic payments network worldwide. It facilitates commerce through the transfer of value and information among financial institutions, merchants, consumers, businesses, and government entities. The company owns and operates VisaNet, a global processing platform that provides transaction processing services. It also offers a range of payments platforms, which enable credit, charge, deferred debit, debit, and prepaid payments, as well as cash access for consumers, businesses, and government entities. The company provides its payment platforms under the Visa, Visa Electron, PLUS, and Interlink brand names. In addition, it offers value-added services, including risk management, issuer processing, loyalty, dispute management, value-added information, and CyberSource-branded services. The company is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
Advisors' Opinion:- [By Rupert Hargreaves]
Even so, thanks to its checkered past, many companies such as Visa� (NYSE: V ) �and�MasterCard� (NYSE: MA ) �have been late to the party.�However, astute companies, such as�Deutsche Bank� (NYSE: DB ) have been active in the market since the mid 1970s.
- [By WALLSTCHEATSHEET]
Visa strives to help consumers, companies, governments, and other entities by providing methods of easy transaction worldwide. The company recently reported earnings that made investors happy, and the stock is now trading near all-time high prices, with still more room to rise. Over the last four quarters, earnings and revenue figures have been increasing, which has pleased investors in the company. Relative to its strong peers and sector, Visa has been an average year-to-date performer. Look for Visa to continue to OUTPERFORM.
Top 5 Railroad Stocks To Invest In Right Now: Enel SpA (ENEL)
Enel SpA is an Italy-based company engaged in the utilities sectors. It operates in seven divisions. The Sales segment focuses on the sale of electricity and gas products and services for end users. The Generation and Energy Management is involved in generation with thermal, natural gas regasification and schedulable hydroelectric power plants. The Infrastructure and Networks distributes electricity and public lighting. The Iberia and Latin America operates in the electricity and gas markets of Spain, Portugal and Latin America. The International segment supports strategies for the European and Russian markets. The Renewable Energy is active in the generation of electricity from renewable resources. The Engineering and Research develops the conventional and nuclear construction of power plants. In November 2013, through Enel Investment Holding BV, it sold a 40% stake in Artic Russia BV, which in turn owns a 49% of the share capital of SeverEnergia, to NK Rosneft' OAO. Advisors' Opinion:- [By Jonathan Morgan]
Enel SpA (ENEL) retreated 3.8 percent to 3.22 euros after Deutsche Bank AG said that its estimates for earnings at Italy�� biggest utility show no potential for growth for 2013 or 2014.
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